Monitoring Hurricane Dorian

9 p.m. Monday, September 2, 2019

Hurricane Dorian has become nearly stationary over the Bahamas, about 105 miles off the coast of Florida. The storm has weakened slightly to a category 4 level, but is still a very powerful hurricane. At the current time, all of the tracking models are still predicting Dorian will begin moving north, parallel to the Florida coast, sometime over the next couple of days. There are, currently, no major impacts expected in the Tampa Bay area, and we are under no watches or warnings. According to the National Weather Service, Hillsborough County has little to no potential impact from storm surge, wind, flooding rain, or tornados. However, we will continue to monitor this situation very closely.

I hope you have a good evening — and keep praying for those who are in the path of the storm.

5 p.m. Sunday, September 1, 2019

There isn’t a lot of new information regarding Hurricane Dorian as it relates to our area. As you have probably seen or heard in the news, Dorian has grown incredibly strong and is currently over the Bahamas. The Hurricane is moving very slowly toward the west. It is expected to be in the area over the Bahamas or between the Bahamas and Florida for the next couple of days. Although this is a massive storm, all of the tracking models are still predicting that the storm will turn before reaching the coast of Florida. However, due to the fact that this is a very large storm and it might be very near the coast, plus there is always the added possibility of a shift in the tracking models, the east coast of Florida has been placed under Hurricane watches and warnings. Parts of central Florida have also been placed under Tropical Storm watches.

At the current time, none of these watches or warnings are in effect for our area.

If Hurricane Dorian does follow the current tracking models, our area is not expected to experience any severe weather as a result of this storm. However, we will continue to monitor this very closely and will be ready to take any necessary action.

Dr. Jason Longstreth
Dean of Students

5 p.m. Saturday, August 31, 2019

This is a brief update on Hurricane Dorian. As expected, Dorian has strengthened over the past 24 hours and is now a very strong Category 4 storm. It is possible that Dorian will become a Category 5 storm soon. Over the next couple of days, the storm intensity is expected to fluctuate some as it moves slowly toward the west. However, Dorian is still expected to remain a powerful Major Hurricane during this time period.

The good news is that most of the major tracking models now have Dorian making a turn toward the north before reaching Florida. If this is the track that Dorian follows, it will pass well to the east of us.

Of course, this turn is not expected to take place for another day or two and the forecast could change. Therefore, we will continue to monitor this situation very closely and will remain prepared to take any necessary actions for the safety of our students, faculty, and staff.

In the meantime, our prayers are with those in the Bahamas and with any who are in the path of this powerful storm.

Dr. Jason Longstreth
Dean of Students

5 p.m. Friday, August 30, 2019

Hurricane Dorian has strengthened throughout the day, as expected, and is now a Major Hurricane. The tracking models continue to show Dorian traveling toward the east coast of Florida over the next several days. However, Dorian’s speed is expected to slow considerably as this storm nears Florida and the 5 p.m. projection from the National Hurricane Center does not have Dorian making landfall (if it does make landfall) until mid-Tuesday. There are also numerous variations in the projected path that Dorian will take, especially as you get into the 4-5 day forecast area.

Based on current models, it will be several days before we have a better idea of Dorian’s trajectory, timing, and intensity. While we hope that Dorian will turn north and steer away from land (as some models are now projecting), we are preparing for Dorian to make landfall on the east coast of Florida.

It is not anticipated that we will begin feeling the effects of Dorian this weekend. However, should that forecast change, we will notify you via email and the Florida College Emergency Notification System. Also, we will continue to monitor this storm very closely and will notify you of any changes in the forecast.

Dr. Jason Longstreth
Dean of Students